Accrington Stanley vs Gillingham: predictions, H2H and market odds

Accrington Stanley have won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.44 expected goals for, 1.27 against). Gillingham have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.23 expected goals for, 1.27 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Accrington Stanley's recent matches and 40% of Gillingham's; 50% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 8 meetings Accrington Stanley won 1, Gillingham won 4 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 6 Apr 2026, finished Gillingham 2–0 Accrington Stanley.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 48%. Kepler's model projects 1.26–1.05 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 51%.