Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08: predictions, H2H and market odds

Aalesund have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 2.6 conceded (1.57 expected goals for, 1.90 against). Sarpsborg 08 have won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.33 expected goals for, 1.62 against).

Both teams scored in 90% of Aalesund's recent matches and 60% of Sarpsborg 08's; 70% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 4 meetings Aalesund won 2, Sarpsborg 08 won 2 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 22 Oct 2023, finished Aalesund 3–2 Sarpsborg 08.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 66%. Kepler's model projects 1.65–1.73 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.