Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: predictions, H2H and market odds

Real Madrid have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 0.7 conceded (1.87 expected goals for, 1.14 against). Rayo Vallecano have won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.13 expected goals for, 1.25 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Real Madrid's recent matches and 40% of Rayo Vallecano's; 40% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 9 meetings Real Madrid won 4, Rayo Vallecano won 1 and 4 ended level. The most recent, on 9 Nov 2025, finished Rayo Vallecano 0–0 Real Madrid.