Middlesbrough vs Southampton: predictions, H2H and market odds

Middlesbrough have won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.60 expected goals for, 1.06 against). Southampton have won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (1.60 expected goals for, 1.38 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Middlesbrough's recent matches and 70% of Southampton's; 50% and 80% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 4 meetings Middlesbrough won 2, Southampton won 0 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 4 Jan 2026, finished Middlesbrough 4–0 Southampton.