Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano: predictions, H2H and market odds

Mallorca have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.52 expected goals for, 1.49 against). Rayo Vallecano have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.33 expected goals for, 1.09 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Mallorca's recent matches and 60% of Rayo Vallecano's; 80% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 9 meetings Mallorca won 5, Rayo Vallecano won 2 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 11 Jan 2026, finished Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Mallorca.