Málaga vs Sporting Gijón: predictions, H2H and market odds

Málaga have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.97 expected goals for, 1.48 against). Sporting Gijón have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.51 expected goals for, 1.19 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Málaga's recent matches and 50% of Sporting Gijón's; 70% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 7 meetings Málaga won 3, Sporting Gijón won 1 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 4 Jan 2026, finished Sporting Gijón 1–3 Málaga.