Derby County vs Wrexham: predictions, H2H and market odds

Derby County have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.19 expected goals for, 2.20 against). Wrexham have won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (1.27 expected goals for, 1.46 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Derby County's recent matches and 70% of Wrexham's; 70% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 2 meetings Derby County won 0, Wrexham won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 4 Jan 2026, finished Derby County 1–2 Wrexham.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.