Burgos vs Ceuta: predictions, H2H and market odds

Burgos have won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded (1.15 expected goals for, 1.12 against). Ceuta have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.16 expected goals for, 1.88 against).

Both teams scored in 30% of Burgos's recent matches and 40% of Ceuta's; 20% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 2 meetings Burgos won 0, Ceuta won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 1 Apr 2026, finished Burgos 1–1 Ceuta.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.