Arouca vs Tondela: predictions, H2H and market odds

Arouca have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.18 expected goals for, 1.16 against). Tondela have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.07 expected goals for, 1.23 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Arouca's recent matches and 30% of Tondela's; 60% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 3 meetings Arouca won 1, Tondela won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 3 Jan 2026, finished Tondela 3–1 Arouca.